H ισλαμική πληθυσμιακή δυναμική στην Ελλάδα, με φόντο το 2045, με βάση προβολές της CIA

Islamic takeover by year 2045?




του Νικολάου Κ. Γεωργαντζα



Ευχαριστώ την Δρ. Amalia Arvaniti, Associate Professor, UCSD Linguistics, γιά το λίνκ στο CIA FACTBOOK on GREECE. Based on the data there (https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/gr.html), I built a very crude basic population model.

Here are the very crude model equations. Any Runge-Kutta 4 scheme can be used to replicate the attached computed results.

Ellas_Pop(t) = Ellas_Pop(t - dt) + (births - deaths) * dt

INIT Ellas_Pop = 10737428 {10,737,428 (July 2009 est.)}

INFLOWS:

births = Ellas_Pop * birth_fraction

OUTFLOWS:

deaths = Ellas_Pop * death_fraction

Imm_Pop(t) = Imm_Pop(t - dt) + (imm_birth_s - imm_deaths) * dt

INIT Imm_Pop = 1000000

INFLOWS:

imm_birth_s = Imm_Pop * birth_fraction * imm_birth_fraction

OUTFLOWS:

imm_deaths = Imm_Pop * death_fraction * imm_death_fraction

birth_fraction = 9.45 / 1000 {9.45 births/1,000 population (2009 est.)}

death_fraction = 10.51 / 1000 {10.51 deaths/1,000 population (July 2009

est.)}

imm_birth_fraction = 8 {The 8:1 ratio based on data from France}

imm_death_fraction = 1 {multiplier}

total_pop = Ellas_Pop + Imm_Pop

The attached computed results show that, by year 2045, we can expect the Islamic population in Greece to match our Hellenic population. So, the question is: does anyone on this planet have any bright ideas on how to reverse this grim scenario? Or how can Greece be able to absorb this huge population growth?

Or are we just to follow the MANY islamic scholars on the Way to Stop Islam:

http://www.islam-watch.org/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=347:way-to-stop-islam&catid=53:ayesha&Itemid=58



Nicholas C. GEORGANTZAS

Professor, Management Systems

Director, System Dynamics Consultancy

FORDHAM UNIVERSITY BUSINESS SCHOOLS

113 West 60th Street, Suite 617-D

New York, NY 10023-7484

U.S.A.

 1-917-667-4022 
Fax: 1-212-765-5573
E-mail: georgantzas@fordham.edu

http://www.cambridgewhoswho.com/Members/NY/Nicholas-Georgantzas-758741.html